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Pepper price forecast for tomorrow, July 15, 2025: Market 'heats up' due to prolonged drought

Pepper prices on July 15, 2025 are forecast to increase due to drought in Brazil and Indonesia. Demand for clean pepper from the EU, US and Chinese policies support prices. Low inventories push prices up.

Báo Đà NẵngBáo Đà Nẵng14/07/2025

Update the latest pepper price on July 14, 2025 in the domestic market

AreaAverage price (VND/kg)Change (VND)
Gia Lai 138,000 ▼1,000
Ba Ria - Vung Tau 138,000 ▼1,000
Dak Lak 140,000 ▼1,000
Binh Phuoc 138,000 ▼1,000
Dak Nong 139,000 ▼1,000
Updated: 07/15/2025

Pepper price today in the Central Highlands region

In Dak Lak, pepper price is 140,000 VND/kg, down 1,000 VND compared to yesterday.

In Gia Lai, pepper price is 138,000 VND/kg, down 1,000 VND compared to yesterday.

In Dak Nong, pepper price is 139,000 VND/kg, down 1,000 VND compared to yesterday.

Pepper price today in the Southeast region

In Ba Ria - Vung Tau, pepper price today is at 138,000 VND/kg, down 1,000 VND compared to yesterday.

In Binh Phuoc, pepper price today is at 138,000 VND/kg, down 1,000 VND compared to yesterday.

Update the latest pepper price on July 14, 2025 in the world market

In the global market, pepper prices today, July 14, 2025, show stability for most types of pepper. Global pepper prices have not fluctuated significantly recently. According to information from the International Pepper Community (IPC):

MarketUSD/TonChangeVND/kg (*)
Indonesian - Black Pepper 7,393 0 194,362
Indonesian - White Pepper 10,177 0 267,554
Brazilian Black - Pepper ASTA 570 6,225 0 163,656
Malaysia - Black Pepper ASTA 8,900 0 233,981
Malaysia - White Pepper ASTA 11,750 0 308,908
Vietnam - Black Pepper 500 g/l 6,440 0 169,308
Vietnam - Black Pepper 550 g/l 6,570 0 172,726
Vietnam - White Pepper ASTA 9,150 0 240,554

For black pepper:

Indonesian black pepper: 7,393 USD/ton (equivalent to 194,362 VND/kg), unchanged price.

Brazilian black pepper ASTA 570: 6,225 USD/ton (equivalent to 163,656 VND/kg), unchanged price.

Malaysian ASTA black pepper: 8,900 USD/ton (equivalent to 233,981 VND/kg), unchanged price.

For white pepper:

Indonesian white pepper: 10,177 USD/ton (equivalent to 267,554 VND/kg), unchanged price.

Malaysian ASTA white pepper: 11,750 USD/ton (equivalent to 308,908 VND/kg), unchanged price.

Vietnam pepper export price:

Black pepper 500 g/l: 6,440 USD/ton (equivalent to 169,308 VND/kg), unchanged price.

Black pepper 550 g/l: 6,570 USD/ton (equivalent to 172,726 VND/kg), unchanged price.

ASTA white pepper: 9,150 USD/ton (equivalent to 240,554 VND/kg), unchanged price.

News, pepper price forecast tomorrow 7/15/2024

Domestic market on July 15, 2025

Domestic pepper prices on July 15, 2025 are forecasted to continue to maintain a sideways trend, with the possibility of a slight adjustment of about 100-200 VND/kg in some localities. Based on the current market situation, the main factors affecting pepper prices include:

Limited supply: The 2025 pepper harvest in Vietnam is expected to be 1-2 months later than previous years due to the impact of prolonged drought, reducing domestic supply. This continues to support pepper prices to remain high.

Farmers' psychology of holding goods: Farmers in key areas such as Dak Lak, Gia Lai, and Dong Nai are being cautious, limiting sales at prices below 140,000 VND/kg, waiting for better prices.

Export demand is stable but not yet breakthrough: Export enterprises have not recorded strong demand from major markets such as the US, EU, or China, leading to sluggish domestic transactions.

Specific price forecast:

Dak Lak, Dak Nong: 140,000 - 141,000 VND/kg.

Gia Lai: 139,000 - 140,000 VND/kg.

Ba Ria - Vung Tau, Dong Nai, Binh Phuoc: 139,000 - 140,000 VND/kg.

Lam Dong: 139,000 - 140,000 VND/kg, with the possibility of a slight increase of 100-200 VND/kg if traders increase purchases.

If international pepper prices continue to move sideways or decrease slightly below the threshold of 6,400 USD/ton for black pepper, domestic prices may face slight downward pressure at the end of the week.

International market on July 15, 2025

In the international market, pepper prices on July 15, 2025 are expected to continue to be stable or fluctuate slightly, depending on the region. The main influencing factors include:

Global supply decline: Global pepper output in 2025 is forecast to decline due to the impact of climate change in major producing countries such as Vietnam, Indonesia, and Brazil.

Slowing import demand: Major markets such as the US, EU, and China are cautious in finalizing orders due to concerns about logistics costs and global economic fluctuations.

Wait-and-see mentality of export enterprises: International enterprises are closely monitoring trade policies and shipping costs, causing FOB prices to be inconsistent for orders in July-August.

World pepper price forecast (based on International Pepper Community - IPC):

Lampung black pepper (Indonesia): ~7,350 – 7,400 USD/ton, stable or slightly decreased by 10–20 USD/ton.

Muntok white pepper (Indonesia): ~10,150 – 10,200 USD/ton, stable.

Black pepper ASTA 570 (Brazil): ~6,200 – 6,250 USD/ton, no big fluctuations.

ASTA black pepper (Malaysia): ~8,850 – 8,900 USD/ton, unchanged.

ASTA white pepper (Malaysia): ~11,700 – 11,750 USD/ton, stable.

Vietnamese black pepper: ~6,400 – 6,450 USD/ton (500 g/l), ~6,550 – 6,570 USD/ton (550 g/l).

Vietnam white pepper: ~9,100 – 9,150 USD/ton.

Factors affecting pepper prices tomorrow

Weather in producing countries: Climate change, especially drought or severe cold in Brazil and Indonesia, could reduce production, creating opportunities for pepper prices to increase in the medium term.

China's trade policy: China is a large consumer market with an import demand of 60,000-70,000 tons/year. If quality control policies are relaxed, Vietnam's pepper export prices can be supported to increase.

Sustainable consumption trends: Demand for clean and organic pepper in developed markets such as the EU and the US continues to increase, creating opportunities for high-quality products from Vietnam.

Inventory and exports: Low inventory in Vietnam and reserve demand in major markets may push pepper prices up slightly in Q3/2025 if there are positive signals from international demand.

Source: https://baodanang.vn/du-bao-gia-tieu-ngay-mai-15-7-2025-thi-truong-nong-len-do-han-han-keo-dai-3268404.html


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