Increased supply is considered the main reason for the price drop - Photo: N.TRI
Domestically, according to information from growers and agents, the price of green coffee beans traded on July 13 was relatively stable compared to yesterday. Specifically, in Lam Dong province, coffee prices were generally between 89,000 and 90,000 VND/kg. In Dak Lak province, coffee was purchased at around 90,000 VND/kg.
In Dak Nong (Lam Dong province) and Gia Lai province, traders traded at 90,000 and 90,500 VND/kg, respectively.
However, if the domestic coffee market has decreased by around 5,000 VND this week, compared to the beginning of June, the current price has decreased by 27,000-28,000 VND/kg, which is a quite strong decrease.
Globally , prices on the London and New York exchanges in the trading session on July 12 decreased significantly compared to the previous session. Specifically, the price of Robusta on the London exchange for September 2025 delivery was anchored at 3,216 USD/ton; the November 2025 delivery period remained at 3,170 USD/ton.
Meanwhile, on the New York floor, the price of Arabica for September 2025 delivery was unchanged at 286.50 cents/lb. And the December 2025 delivery period remained unchanged at 280.45 cents/lb.
If we sum up this whole week, the global coffee market has plummeted when the price of Robusta for September 2025 delivery lost about 12.16%, while Arabica decreased by nearly 6%. The reason for the deep decline comes from many factors, but the main reason is still due to the increase in supply.
The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) forecasts global coffee production in the 2024-2025 crop year to reach 174.4 million bags, up nearly 3% from the previous crop. Brazil leads the way with 65 million bags, followed by Vietnam with 31 million bags (up 6.9%), and Indonesia with 11.25 million bags.
In a recent interview with Tuoi Tre Online , a representative of the Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association said that the increasing world coffee supply is the main reason why the price of this commodity has plummeted from a peak of VND135,000/kg (early May 2025) to its current level.
"Prices may fall further in the next few months if demand does not increase as much as supply, especially after Brazil, a leading Robusta producing country, Vietnam, will enter its harvest season in late October.
However, in the short term, prices may fluctuate wildly because coffee is greatly affected by speculative activities, financial investments, the world political situation, and exchange rate fluctuations."
Source: https://tuoitre.vn/gia-ca-phe-viet-giam-theo-da-gia-the-gioi-co-giam-them-20250713151053745.htm
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