90% of AI technology could disappear in the next 10 years

The founder of Alibaba's artificial intelligence division predicts that 90% of current AI technologies and services will disappear. Photo: AlibabaCloud .

Wang Jian, founder of Alibaba's cloud computing and artificial intelligence (AI) division, predicted that 90% of the AI technologies and services that have emerged since OpenAI's ChatGPT appeared could disappear. He expressed this view in an interview with Bloomberg news site.

OpenAI’s ChatGPT revolutionized the development and investment in artificial intelligence, but Jian believes that 90% of the technology and services that have emerged since then may no longer exist in less than a decade.

The problem, Jian said, is that American startups have created a false understanding of what AI is really capable of. While AI has captured the public’s imagination with chatbots, its applications go far beyond that, he told Bloomberg .

To drive the next phase of AI development, developers need to eliminate distractions and focus on creative thinking in applications, said Jian, who built Alibaba’s second-largest business from scratch in 2009.

Mr. Wang Jian, founder of Alibaba's cloud computing and artificial intelligence (AI) division. Photo: Bloomberg.

“I think probably 90% of the AI that people are talking about will disappear in the next 5-10 years, because that's not really the core of this technology. But that's not a bad thing, it just helps us continue to explore, ” the director shared.

Companies in the US and China are investing billions of dollars in developing AI technology, with the expectation of boosting the economy in the long term. Mr. Jian has been outspoken about the huge spending by companies like OpenAI and Meta on this issue, including paying huge salaries to sign contracts with talented AI engineers.

“What happens in Silicon Valley is not a recipe for success. What really matters is innovation. So when you’re in the early stages of innovation, I don’t think talent matters, you need the right people, not the best people,” he said.

Looking back nearly two decades, he admits that he never predicted the current AI revolution would come so soon. All he could imagine was that computing would become as essential as electricity or oil, a state that is expected to remain so for at least the next few decades.

As for China, he firmly believes that the country will continue to be a hotbed of innovation. Part of the reason is that China is now one of the world's largest technology laboratories.

Jian has a long history of disruptive thinking. Soon after joining Alibaba, he pitched the idea of a computing business to billionaire Jack Ma, the group’s co-founder. He recalled that he was nervous because he had no concrete business proposal or model to present, just a belief that demand for computing would skyrocket in the coming years. And he was right.

Alicloud, as the unit is known, is now a $16 billion company. Alicloud not only serves as the foundation for Alibaba’s global e-commerce and logistics operations, but is also the developer of the Qwen model, which is considered on par with DeepSeek and American rivals like GPT and Gemini.

Source: https://znews.vn/90-cong-nghe-ai-co-the-bien-mat-trong-10-nam-toi-post1572309.html